Monthly Report • April 7th 2023 • Center for Arakan Studies

# Monthly Report | March 2023

An Arakan National Party Supporter (Photo/Development Media Group)

### Table of content

- Key Remarks
- Arakan Politics is in Freeze
- Economic Livelihoods are under challenges
- Local People are at risk of Livelihood
- The Junta Forces to Return Displaced People

### Key Remarks

- While the junta’s forces and Arakan Army (AA) are now in an informal truce, the news of the registration of the political parties in Rakhine have become more prominent in March. As the twoarmed parties are in a lack of trust toward each other, the reinforcements of the military force and silent confrontation become the affairs of politics. For example, neither the junta has a clear date for its sham election, nor the ULA has a decisive stand on election issues
- The junta authority in Rakhine attempted to show the truce with the AA as a model for other parts of the country, especially for the ethnic armed groups. The repetitive visits of the junta chief to the state also showed off some political messages of so-called ‘peace and development’ in the region. The real changes in the local economic livelihoods are not yet seen now
- Despite the trade and transportation relaxation after the informal truce in late November 2022, the junta imposed some restrictions on the movement of goods and commodities outside and inside the state, including for traders requiring the permission from the junta authority. Shortage of water due to the rising temperatures in the summer, on the other hand, becomes an issue for the local population
- The junta authority attempted to engage in the relocation tasks of many thousand people in the Rakhine for all communities. Yet, the relocation of the domestic IDPs is questioned due to the lack of a security guarantee and the future livelihoods. Rohingya refugee repatriation from Bangladesh is, on other hand, still an uncertain task due to the lack of trust in the junta authority and other shortcomings.

This paper is a part of Monthly Arakan Review Series, published by the Center for Arakan Studies (CAS) which seeks to monitor the situation on ground socially, economically, and politically in Rakhine State, aiming at a better understanding of Rakhine/Arakan affairs.

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© Center for Arakan Studies [CAS].

The CAS is an independent, non-partisan and research-oriented group conducting research and analyzing issues related to Arakan/Rakhine affairs.

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While the junta’s forces and Arakan Army (AA) are now in an informal truce, the news of the registration of the political parties in Rakhine have become more prominent in March.

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## Footsteps of China and India on Arakan in Post-Coup Myanmar

While the junta’s forces and Arakan Army (AA) are now in an informal truce, the news of the registration of the political parties in Rakhine have become more prominent in March. As the twoarmed parties are in a lack of trust toward each other,...

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Monthly Report • April 7th 2023

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While the junta’s forces and Arakan Army (AA) are now in an informal truce, the news of the registration of the political parties in Rakhine have become more prominent in March.

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Monthly Report • March 6th 2023

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